glut?

[CrawlingKaos]

I have been impressed with a few indy films I've seen and some of the trailers and websites i've found on this site. My question is this: with the technology readily available and everyone itching to do their own movie, do you think there will be a glut in the market? I used to write and draw for comics back in the 90s and alot of stuff I did for PC comics went unpublished because the market was completely flooded at the time. Nearly killed the comic book industry. I spent a good year of my life working on something that went unseen. Lots of companies folded and the comic scene hasn't been the same.

[armagecko]

There's been a glut in the market for many years now. Ever since Blair Witch proved that you could make a successful film from video footage, everyone with a camera instantly became a "moviemaker." Some have capitalized on this glut. Notice how many film festivals there are now compare with ten years ago? However, I don't believe that a glut significanctly affects the bottom line which is: A good product will be recognized.

I predict that the "horror boom" that has been fueled mainly by the success of the Scream franchise will end very soon. Sorry, folks. I give it two more years tops. We've already had Wrong Turn, House of 1000 Corpses, Island of the Dead (?), so even the studios can't find a decent horror product. This trend generally signals the end. Yes, we've also had the Chainsaw remake and Cabin Fever and 28 Days Later, and there will continue to be a couple of horror releases every Halloween season, but the more horror movies that "tank" (and there are tons) the less that the indu$try is going to risk to churn one out.

This, of course, could open up a wonderful opportunity for many low-budget moviemakers, because they don't have to risk so much. But the problem remains the same: Creating a quality product that people pay to see. Clever ideas are hard to come by. Great ideas are even harder. That's why everyone from the studio bosses on down is looking for one. Great ideas make big money. Blair Witch was a great idea. But now that's been done. Scream was a great idea, but it's been done. Where does the next great idea come from? You? Me? Let's see...